Search for dissertations about: "risk and uncertainty analysis"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 175 swedish dissertations containing the words risk and uncertainty analysis.

  2. 1. Handling severe uncertainty in strategic project appraisal : Methods and applications of context analysis

    Author : Anton Talantsev; Aron Larsson; David Sundgren; John Ward; Stockholms universitet; []
    Keywords : MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP; MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP; MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES; Decision Intelligence; Deep Uncertainty; Scenario Analysis; Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis; Simulation; Context Analysis; Project Appraisal; Risk Assessment; Threat and Opportunity; Computer and Systems Sciences; data- och systemvetenskap;

    Abstract : The long-term success or failure of a strategic project is largely shaped by its context. Therefore, the assessment of the external factors influencing the fulfilment of project long-term goals is vital for the effective project appraisal and planning. READ MORE

  4. 2. Integrated and Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Drinking Water Systems

    Author : Andreas Lindhe; Chalmers tekniska högskola; []
    Keywords : TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; water safety plan; customer minutes lost; probabilistic; fault tree analysis; risk analysis; risk; integrated; drinking water system; hazard; uncertainty;

    Abstract : Drinking water supply is an essential public function but is at the same time exposed to risks. Since a totally risk-free society is not attainable, risks need to be managed efficiently to achieve an acceptable level of risk. READ MORE

  5. 3. Risk-based ship security analysis : a decision-support approach

    Author : Hans Liwång; Jonas W. Ringsberg; Martin Norsell; Rolf Skjong; Försvarshögskolan; []
    Keywords : TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; naval ship; piracy; risk-based; risk control options; ship security analysis; survivability; uncertainty analysis; militära fartyg; sjöröveri; riskanalys; sjöfartsskydd; överlevnadsförmåga; Försvarssystem; Military Technology;

    Abstract : The protection of shipping does not come without hazards and threats for military forces, individual civilian ship operators and crews. With particular focus on security threats, this thesis is about how to prepare for such operations without introducing unnecessary risks, i.e., supporting conscious risk-taking related to ship security. READ MORE

  6. 4. Risk and Rationality : Effects of contextual risk and cognitive dissonance on (sexual) incentives

    Author : Andréa Mannberg; Karl-Gustaf Löfgren; Magnus Johannesson; Umeå universitet; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; HIV AIDS; Health risk; Uncertainty; Risk aversion; Self-Control; Time-inconsistency; Cognitive dissonance; Regret; Norms; Social identity; Economics; Nationalekonomi; Economics; nationalekonomi;

    Abstract : Paper [I] theoretically analyzes how the level and uncertainty of future prospects affect incentives to abstain from sexual risk taking in the presence of HIV. The results suggest that, for individuals with limited access to HIV treatment, uncertainty of future health may be an important factor driving unsafe sex practices and support the empirical finding of a weak link between sexual behavior, HIV prevalence, and HIV knowledge in poor countries; therefore suggesting that AIDS policy needs to be calibrated in order to fit within different social contexts. READ MORE

  7. 5. Uncertainty, variability and environmental risk analysis

    Author : Monika Filipsson; Tomas Öberg; Bo Bergbäck; Lars Rosén; Linnéuniversitetet; []
    Keywords : Contaminated land; exposure assessment; exposure factors; risk analysis; risk perception; uncertainty; variability; probabilistic risk assessment; NATURAL SCIENCES; NATURVETENSKAP; Miljövetenskap; Environmental Science;

    Abstract : The negative effects of hazardous substances and possible measures that can be taken are evaluated in the environmental risk analysis process, consisting of risk assessment, risk communication and risk management. Uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and natural variability are always present in this process. READ MORE