Search for dissertations about: "Anders Winman"

Found 3 swedish dissertations containing the words Anders Winman.

  1. 1. Knowing if you would have known : A model of the hindsight bias

    Author : Anders Winman; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : SOCIAL SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; Psychology; Hindsight bias; knew-it-all-along effect; calibration; realism of confidence; Psykologi; Psychology; Psykologi; Psychology; psykologi;

    Abstract : A common finding in previous research on judgment under uncertainty is that when participants are presented with the correct answer to a general knowledge item or feedback about the actual outcome of an event they respond as if they "knew-it-all-along", as if the presented answer or outcome was easy to predict. The present thesis consists of ten experiments and offers a new theoretical model of this phenomenon, commonly referred to as hindsight bias. READ MORE

  2. 2. The Lazy Intuitive Statistician : Influence of Data Representation and Retrieval Processes on Intuitive Statistical Judgment

    Author : Marcus Lindskog; Anders Winman; Peter Juslin; Hedvig Söderlund; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : SOCIAL SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Intuitive statistics; numerical cognition; Psychology; Psykologi;

    Abstract : Intuitive statistical judgments are an integral part of people’s everyday life and a long line of research has investigated the extent to which man lives up to the norms of statistical theory when performing such judgments. A recent account of intuitive statistical judgments, summarized in the metaphor of the naïve intuitive statistician (K. READ MORE

  3. 3. Is the Intuitive Statistician Eager or Lazy? : Exploring the Cognitive Processes of Intuitive Statistical Judgments

    Author : Marcus Lindskog; Anders Winman; Peter Juslin; Klaus Fiedler; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : SOCIAL SCIENCES; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Lazy intuitive statistician; Eager intuitive statistician; Intuitive statistics; Sampling model; Numerical cognition; Psychology; Psykologi;

    Abstract : Numerical information is ubiquitous and people are continuously engaged in evaluating it by means of intuitive statistical judgments. Much research has evaluated if people’s judgments live up to the norms of statistical theory but directed far less attention to the cognitive processes that underlie the judgments. READ MORE