Search for dissertations about: "Gisle James Natvik"

Found 1 swedish dissertation containing the words Gisle James Natvik.

2. 1. Electoral Incentives and Information Content in Macroeconomic Forecasts

   Author : André Reslow; Mikael Carlsson; Jesper Lindé; Gisle James Natvik; Uppsala universitet; []
   Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Brexit; Electoral Cycles; Forecast Evaluation; Forecasting; Imperfect Information; Interest Groups; Political Selection; Voting; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

   Abstract : Essay I (with Davide Cipullo): This essay introduces macroeconomic forecasters as new political agents and suggests that they use their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. The essay develops a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the future economy and rely on professional forecasters when forming beliefs. READ MORE