Search for dissertations about: "Ralph Hertwig"

Found 1 swedish dissertation containing the words Ralph Hertwig.

  1. 1. A naïve sampling model of intuitive confidence intervals

    Author : Patrik Hansson; Peter Juslin; Ralph Hertwig; Umeå universitet; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; overconfidence; subjective probability; sampling model; short-term memory; age-differences.; Psychology; Psykologi;

    Abstract : A particular field in research on judgment and decision making (JDM) is concerned with realism of confidence in one’s knowledge. An interesting finding is the so-called format dependence effect, which implies that assessment of the same probability distribution generates different conclusions about over- or underconfidence depending on the assessment format. READ MORE