Search for dissertations about: "Time series forecast"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 29 swedish dissertations containing the words Time series forecast.

  2. 1. Essays on Time Series Analysis : With Applications to Financial Econometrics

    Author : Daniel Preve; Rolf Larsson; Bent Nielsen; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; non-Gaussian time series; nonnegative autoregression; robust estimation; strong convergence; realized volatility; volatility forecast; forecast comparison; Diebold-Mariano test; Statistics; Statistik;

    Abstract : This doctoral thesis is comprised of four papers that all relate to the subject of Time Series Analysis.The first paper of the thesis considers point estimation in a nonnegative, hence non-Gaussian, AR(1) model. The parameter estimation is carried out using a type of extreme value estimators (EVEs). READ MORE

  4. 2. Some Contributions to Heteroscedastic Time Series Analysis and Computational Aspects of Bayesian VARs

    Author : Oskar Gustafsson; Pär Stockhammar; Domenico Giannone; Stockholms universitet; []
    Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Time series; heteroscedasticity; variance stabilizing filters; Bayesian vector autoregressions; Bayesian optimization; variational inference; Statistics; statistik;

    Abstract : Time-dependent volatility clustering (or heteroscedasticity) in macroeconomic and financial time series has been analyzed for more than half a century. The inefficiencies it causes in various inference procedures are well known and understood. Despite this, heteroscedasticity is surprisingly often neglected in practical work. READ MORE

  5. 3. Time Series and Macroeconomics: Studies in Demography and Monetary Policy

    Author : Pär Österholm; Thomas Lindh; David Canning; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Economics; Macroeconomics; Time series econometrics; Nationalekonomi; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

    Abstract : Chapter 1 provides a brief introduction to the topics of the thesis and summarises the main results.Chapter 2 studies the econometric properties of the Taylor (1993) rule when applied to U.S., Australian and Swedish data in order to judge its empirical relevance. READ MORE

  6. 4. Markov Regime Switching in Economic Time Series

    Author : Ulf Erlandsson; Nationalekonomiska institutionen; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Nationalekonomi; ekonometri; ekonomisk teori; ekonomiska system; ekonomisk politik; forecasting; Markov switching; exchange rates; interest rates; business cycle; economic policy; economic systems; economic theory; econometrics; Economics; currency crisis;

    Abstract : This dissertation studies statistical properties and applications of the Markov switching models for economic time series in five separate papers. The two main statistical themes are (i) the task of choosing the number of states to use in the model, and (ii) inference on time-varying transition probabilities. READ MORE

  7. 5. Data mining for prediction - financial series case

    Author : Stefan Zemke; KTH; []
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : Hard problems force innovative approaches and attention todetail, their exploration often contributing beyond the areainitially attempted. This thesis investigates the data miningprocess resulting in a predictor for numerical series.Theseries experimented with come from financial data - usuallyhard to forecast. READ MORE