Search for dissertations about: "Uncertainty function"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 213 swedish dissertations containing the words Uncertainty function.

2. 1. Dealing with uncertainty

   Author : Jonas Clausen Mork; John Cantwell; Till Grüne-Yanoff; Terje Aven; KTH; []
   Keywords : HUMANIORA; HUMANITIES; safety factor; safety margin; uncertainty factor; uncertainty function; uncertainty; information; risk; risk assessment; risk management; epistemology; science; reasoning;

   Abstract : Uncertainty is, it seems, more or less constantly present in our lives. Even so, grasping the concept philosophically is far from trivial. In this doctoral thesis, uncertainty and its conceptual companion information are studied. Axiomatic analyses are provided and numerical measures suggested. READ MORE

4. 2. Is it safe? safety factor reasoning in policy-making under uncertainty

   Author : Jonas Clausen Mork; John Cantwell; Stig Andur Pedersen; KTH; []
   Keywords : HUMANIORA; HUMANITIES; safety factor; uncertainty factor; uncertainty function; uncertainty; rationality; policy; decision; science; risk; Philosophy subjects; Filosofiämnen;

   Abstract : This thesis examines the practice of using safety factors in decision-making under uncertainty, in particular in the areas of toxicology and civil engineering. The aim is to expose and clarify some of the philosophical issues surrounding the practice. READ MORE

5. 3. Expectations, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy

   Author : David Kjellberg; Annika Alexius; Nils Gottfries; Ulf Söderström; Uppsala universitet; []
   Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Monetary Policy; Expectations; Uncertainty; Uncovered Interest Parity; Interest Rates; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

   Abstract : Essay 1 - To evaluate measures of expectations I examine and compare some of the most common methods for capturing expectations: the futures method which utilizes financial market prices, the VAR forecast method, and the survey method. I study average expectations on the Federal funds rate target, and the main findings can be summarized as follows: i) the survey measure and the futures measure are highly correlated; the correlation coefficient is 0. READ MORE

6. 4. Design flood estimation under uncertainty

   Author : Kenechukwu Okoli; Giuliano Di Baldassarre; András Bárdossy; Uppsala universitet; []
   Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Dimensionerande flöden; osäkerheter; avrinningsmodellering; frekvens analys.; Dimensionerande flöden; osäkerheter; avrinningsmodellering; frekvens analys.; Design flood; uncertainty; rainfall-runoff; frequency analysis.; Hydrology; Hydrologi;

   Abstract : Att bestämma dimensionerande flöden, d.v.s. sannolikheten för att vat-tenföringen i ett vattendrag överskrider ett givet värde, är ett allmänt hydrologiskt problem som exempelvis används för att utvärdera över-svämningsrisker i vattendrag samt för att dimensionera hydrauliska kon-struktioner. READ MORE

7. 5. Learning of probabilistic inference tasks : effects of uncertainty and function form

   Author : Håkan Alm; Umeå universitet; []
   Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Inference; learning; cognition;

   Abstract : This thesis is concerned with the problem of how people learn to use uncer­tain information for making judgments. The general framework for the thesis is Social Judgment Theory (SJT). First the S3T paradigm, and some research conducted within the paradigm, is briefly described, and a series of four empirical studies is summarized. READ MORE