Search for dissertations about: "business and Economic Forecasting"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 27 swedish dissertations containing the words business and Economic Forecasting.
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1. Evaluating Asset-Pricing Models in International Financial Markets
Abstract : This thesis consists of three empirical studies on asset-prices in international financial markets. The purpose is three-fold. First, to evaluate whether good predictions of economic variables may be obtained by pooling information from a broad group of financial variables. READ MORE
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2. Markov Regime Switching in Economic Time Series
Abstract : This dissertation studies statistical properties and applications of the Markov switching models for economic time series in five separate papers. The two main statistical themes are (i) the task of choosing the number of states to use in the model, and (ii) inference on time-varying transition probabilities. READ MORE
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3. A Non-Stationary perspective on the European and Swedish Business Cycle
Abstract : Business cycles, the ups and downs observed somewhat simultaneously in numerous macroeconomic variables in an economy and often measured using real GDP, are important and, despite much economic research, still incom- pletely understood. Dating the business cycle has always been of interest in macroeconomic research. READ MORE
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4. Mostly Panel Econometrics : Essays on Asymptotic Analysis and Enhanced Inference
Abstract : This thesis consists of five chapters which focus on panel data theory. Four of them analyze explicit panel data models and one chapter deals with time series forecasting model, where external panel data help us estimate unobserved explanatory variables. READ MORE
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5. Electoral Incentives and Information Content in Macroeconomic Forecasts
Abstract : Essay I (with Davide Cipullo): This essay introduces macroeconomic forecasters as new political agents and suggests that they use their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. The essay develops a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the future economy and rely on professional forecasters when forming beliefs. READ MORE