Search for dissertations about: "forecast"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 188 swedish dissertations containing the word forecast.

  2. 1. Lucky People Forecast : a systemic futures perspective on fashion and sustainability

    Author : Mathilda Tham; Richard Kimbell; Kate Fletcher; Emma Dewberry; Kay Stables; University of London Goldsmiths; []
    Keywords : HUMANIORA; HUMANITIES; Lucky people; Fashion; Sustainability; Futures; Systems thinking; Change; Metadesign; Design; Design;

    Abstract : The detrimental environmental effects associated with fashion production and consumption are increasingly recognised, and strategies in place. However, these are production-focused, top-down strategies, which do not reach where the impact is highest - the user phase, or where the scope for improvement is utmost - the design phase. READ MORE

  4. 2. Essays on Time Series Analysis : With Applications to Financial Econometrics

    Author : Daniel Preve; Rolf Larsson; Bent Nielsen; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; non-Gaussian time series; nonnegative autoregression; robust estimation; strong convergence; realized volatility; volatility forecast; forecast comparison; Diebold-Mariano test; Statistics; Statistik;

    Abstract : This doctoral thesis is comprised of four papers that all relate to the subject of Time Series Analysis.The first paper of the thesis considers point estimation in a nonnegative, hence non-Gaussian, AR(1) model. The parameter estimation is carried out using a type of extreme value estimators (EVEs). READ MORE

  5. 3. Giant Oil Fields - The Highway to Oil : Giant Oil Fields and their Importance for Future Oil Production

    Author : Fredrik Robelius; Kjell Aleklett; Robert Hirsch; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : Engineering physics; giant oil fields; URR; future oil production; peak oil; forecast; Teknisk fysik;

    Abstract : Since the 1950s, oil has been the dominant source of energy in the world. The cheap supply of oil has been the engine for economic growth in the western world. Since future oil demand is expected to increase, the question to what extent future production will be available is important. READ MORE

  6. 4. Learning local predictive accuracy for expert evaluation and forecast combination

    Author : Oscar Oelrich; Mattias Villani; Francesco Ravazzolo; Stockholms universitet; []
    Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Bayesian; forecast combination; predictive density; Gaussian process; bootstrap; Bayes factors; model selection; Bayesian predictive synthesis; nonparametric methods; power transformation; expected log predictive density; variable selection; statistik; Statistics;

    Abstract : This thesis consists of four papers that study several topics related to expert evaluation and aggregation. Paper I explores the properties of Bayes factors. Bayes factors, which are used for Bayesian hypothesis testing as well as to aggregate models using Bayesian model averaging, are sometimes observed to behave erratically. READ MORE

  7. 5. Towards Intelligent Distribution Systems: Solutions for Congestion Forecast and Dynamic State Estimation Based Protection

    Author : Ankur Srivastava; Chalmers tekniska högskola; []
    Keywords : TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER; ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY; future-readiness; renewables.; future distribution systems; distribution systems protection; distribution system operator; photovoltaics; probabilistic power flow; Congestion forecast; dynamic state estimation;

    Abstract : The electrical distribution systems are undergoing drastic changes such as increasing penetration level of distributed renewable energy sources, energy storage, electrification of energy-efficient loads such as heat pumps and electric vehicles, etc., since the last decade, and more changes are expected in the future. READ MORE