Search for dissertations about: "knew-it-all-along effect"

Found 1 swedish dissertation containing the words knew-it-all-along effect.

2. 1. Knowing if you would have known : A model of the hindsight bias

   Author : Anders Winman; Uppsala universitet; []
   Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Psychology; Hindsight bias; knew-it-all-along effect; calibration; realism of confidence; Psykologi; Psychology; Psykologi; Psychology; psykologi;

   Abstract : A common finding in previous research on judgment under uncertainty is that when participants are presented with the correct answer to a general knowledge item or feedback about the actual outcome of an event they respond as if they "knew-it-all-along", as if the presented answer or outcome was easy to predict. The present thesis consists of ten experiments and offers a new theoretical model of this phenomenon, commonly referred to as hindsight bias. READ MORE