Search for dissertations about: "probabilistic voting"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 11 swedish dissertations containing the words probabilistic voting.

  2. 1. A Probabilistic Model for Positional Voting - Spectrum Games -

    Author : Thommy Perlinger; Statistiska institutionen; []
    Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; operations research; Statistics; Markov-Pólya index; initiator; Voting power index; Spectrum game; connected coalitions; programming; actuarial mathematics; Statistik; operationsanalys; programmering; aktuariematematik;

    Abstract : This thesis considers a class of cooperative n-person games (voting games) in which the voters are spread across an ideological scale. The two most commonly used measures of individual voting power in voting games are the Shapley-Shubik index and the Banzhaf-Coleman index. In both indices, the actors are assumed anomymous and treatad symmetrically. READ MORE

  4. 2. Political Careers, Government Stability, and Electoral Cycles

    Author : Davide Cipullo; Eva Mörk; Luca Repetto; Vincent Pons; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Gender gaps; Self-selection; Political careers; Sticky floor; Voting; Government stability; Fragmentation; No-confidence votes; Bargaining; Brexit; Interest Groups; Forecaster behavior; Electoral cycles; Political selection; Macroeconomic forecasting;

    Abstract : Essay 1: This essay investigates the impact of voter support on the representation of women in the political profession. The empirical analysis exploits two-stage elections in the United States and Italy to hold the selection of candidates constant. READ MORE

  5. 3. Electoral Incentives and Information Content in Macroeconomic Forecasts

    Author : André Reslow; Mikael Carlsson; Jesper Lindé; Gisle James Natvik; Uppsala universitet; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Brexit; Electoral Cycles; Forecast Evaluation; Forecasting; Imperfect Information; Interest Groups; Political Selection; Voting; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

    Abstract : Essay I (with Davide Cipullo): This essay introduces macroeconomic forecasters as new political agents and suggests that they use their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. The essay develops a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the future economy and rely on professional forecasters when forming beliefs. READ MORE

  6. 4. Information and control in financial markets

    Author : Samuel Lee; Handelshögskolan i Stockholm; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES;

    Abstract : Market Liquidity, Active Investment, and Markets for Information. This paper studies a financial market in which investors choose among investment strategies that exploit information about different fundamentals. On the one hand, the presence of other informed investors generates illiquidity. READ MORE

  7. 5. Essays on Dynamic Political Economy

    Author : Zheng Song; Fabrizio Zilibotti; Jose Rodriguez Mora; Stockholms universitet; []
    Keywords : SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP; SOCIAL SCIENCES; Dynamic Political Economy; Economics; Nationalekonomi;

    Abstract : This thesis consists of three papers in dynamic political economy:"Ideology and the Determination of Public Policy Over Time" investigates how public policy responds to persistent ideological shocks in dynamic politico-economic equilibrium. We develop a tractable model to analyse the dynamic interactions among ideology, public policy and individuals' intertemporal choice. READ MORE