Search for dissertations about: "second-order probabilities"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 9 swedish dissertations containing the words second-order probabilities.

2. 1. The Apparent Arbitrariness of Second-Order Probability Distributions

   Author : David Sundgren; Love Ekenberg; Mats Danielson; Lev Utkin; Stockholms universitet; []
   Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Computer and systems science; Data- och systemvetenskap; Computer and Systems Sciences; data- och systemvetenskap;

   Abstract : Adequate representation of imprecise probabilities is a crucial and non-trivial problem in decision analysis. Second-order probability distributions is the model for imprecise probabilities whose merits are discussed in this thesis. READ MORE

4. 2. Distribution of expected utility in second-order decision analysis

   Author : David Sundgren; Högskolan i Gävle; []
   Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; beslutsanalys; andra ordningens fördelningar; förväntad nytta; Computer and systems science; Data- och systemvetenskap;

   Abstract : In decision analysis maximising the expected utility is an often used approach in choosing the optimal alternative. But when probabilities and utilities are vague or imprecise expected utility is fraught with complications. READ MORE

5. 3. Distribution of expected utility in second-order decision analysis

   Author : David Sundgren; Love Ekenberg; Johan Thorbjörnsson; KTH; []
   Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Computer and systems science; Data- och systemvetenskap;

   Abstract : In explicatione consiliorum, maxima facere communis utilitas saepe trita ratio deligendi meliorem optionem est. Verum si probabilitates et utilitates incertae vel dubiae sint, communis utilitas perturbationes affert. READ MORE

6. 4. A Unified Framework for Indeterminate Probabilities and Utilities

   Author : Love Ekenberg; Johan Thorbiörnson; Yuri Ermoliev; Stockholms universitet; []
   Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; Decision Analysis; Risk Analysis; Second order probabilities; MATHEMATICS; MATEMATIK;

   Abstract : In classic decision theory, the different alternatives in a decision situation are merely objects of choice, and it is assumed that a decision maker can assign precise numerical values corresponding to the true value of each consequence, as well as precise numerical probabilities for their occurrences. However, in real-life situations, the ordering of alternatives from most to least preferred is often a delicate matter and an adequate mathematical representation is crucial. READ MORE

7. 5. Techniques to Calculate Exact Inclusion Probabilities for Conditional Poisson Sampling and Pareto .pi.ps Sampling Designs

   Author : Nibia Aires; Göteborgs universitet; []
   Keywords : NATURVETENSKAP; NATURAL SCIENCES; sampling theory; conditional Poisson sampling; Pareto pips sampling; order sampling; numerical integration; algorithms; sampling theory;

   Abstract : This thesis consists of five papers and treats two finite population sampling methods, viz. the Conditional Poisson and the Pareto .pi.ps sampling schemes. READ MORE