Search for dissertations about: "uncertainty factor"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 133 swedish dissertations containing the words uncertainty factor.
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1. Dealing with uncertainty
Abstract : Uncertainty is, it seems, more or less constantly present in our lives. Even so, grasping the concept philosophically is far from trivial. In this doctoral thesis, uncertainty and its conceptual companion information are studied. Axiomatic analyses are provided and numerical measures suggested. READ MORE
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2. Is it safe? safety factor reasoning in policy-making under uncertainty
Abstract : This thesis examines the practice of using safety factors in decision-making under uncertainty, in particular in the areas of toxicology and civil engineering. The aim is to expose and clarify some of the philosophical issues surrounding the practice. READ MORE
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3. Environmental Modelling : Learning from Uncertainty
Abstract : Environmental models are important tools; however uncertainty is pervasive in the modeling process. Current research has shown that understanding and representing these uncertainties is critical when decisions are expected to be made from the modeling results. READ MORE
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4. Expectations, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy
Abstract : Essay 1 - To evaluate measures of expectations I examine and compare some of the most common methods for capturing expectations: the futures method which utilizes financial market prices, the VAR forecast method, and the survey method. I study average expectations on the Federal funds rate target, and the main findings can be summarized as follows: i) the survey measure and the futures measure are highly correlated; the correlation coefficient is 0. READ MORE
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5. Uncertainty, variability and environmental risk analysis
Abstract : The negative effects of hazardous substances and possible measures that can be taken are evaluated in the environmental risk analysis process, consisting of risk assessment, risk communication and risk management. Uncertainty due to lack of knowledge and natural variability are always present in this process. READ MORE